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The changing international network of sovereign debt and financial institutions

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Dungey, M and Harvey, J and Volkov, V (2017) The changing international network of sovereign debt and financial institutions. Discussion Paper. University of Tasmania, Hobart.

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Abstract

We develop a theoretical and empirical framework for the connections between global financial and sovereign CDS markets. The transmission of shocks is shown to affect the systemic default probability of the international network. The network is found to be "robust but fragile", meaning that a shock can result in the propagation of crises. Between 2003 and 2013, the probability of default in the network in the face of potentially poor investment outcomes and/or sovereign bond haircuts changes sub-stantially. The results suggest that it is the interconnectedness of the financial and sovereign debt markets that provides increased protection against financial fragility.

Item Type: Report (Discussion Paper)
Keywords: network, sovereign debt, financial institutions, systemic risk, contagion
Publisher: University of Tasmania
Copyright Information:

Copyright 2017 The University of Tasmania

Date Deposited: 02 May 2017 03:53
Last Modified: 02 May 2017 03:53
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