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Estimating dynamic R&D choice: an analysis of costs and long-run benefits
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Abstract
This article estimates a dynamic structural model of discrete Research and Development (R&D)investment and quantifies its cost and long-run benefit for German manufacturing firms. The model incorporates linkages between R&D choice, product and process innovations, and future productivity and profits. The long-run payoff to R&D is the proportional difference in expected firm value generated by the investment. It increases firm value by 6.7% for the median firm in high-tech industries but only 2.8% in low-tech industries. Simulations show that reductions in maintenance costs of innovation significantly raise investment rates and productivity, whereas reductions in startup costs have little effect.
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: | Peters, B and Roberts, MJ and Vuong, VA and Fryges, H |
Keywords: | productivity, innovation, industry |
Journal or Publication Title: | Rand Journal of Economics |
Publisher: | Rand |
ISSN: | 0741-6261 |
DOI / ID Number: | https://doi.org/10.1111/1756-2171.12181 |
Copyright Information: | Copyright 2017 The RAND Corporation |
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Item Statistics: | View statistics for this item |
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