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Scenarios and models to support global conservation targets

Nicholson, E, Fulton, EA, Brooks, TM, Blanchard, R, Leadley, P, Metzger, JP, Mokany, K, Stevenson, S, Wintle, BA, Woolley, SNC, Barnes, M, Watson, JEM and Ferrier, S 2019 , 'Scenarios and models to support global conservation targets' , Trends in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 34, no. 1 , pp. 57-68 , doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2018.10.006.

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Abstract

Global biodiversity targets have far-reaching implications for nature conservation worldwide. Scenarios and models hold unfulfilled promise for ensuring such targets are well founded and implemented; here, we review how they can and should inform the Aichi Targets of the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity and their reformulation. They offer two clear benefits: providing a scientific basis for the wording and quantitative elements of targets; and identifying synergies and trade-offs by accounting for interactions between targets and the actions needed to achieve them. The capacity of scenarios and models to address complexity makes them invaluable for developing meaningful targets and policy, and improving conservation outcomes.

Item Type: Article
Authors/Creators:Nicholson, E and Fulton, EA and Brooks, TM and Blanchard, R and Leadley, P and Metzger, JP and Mokany, K and Stevenson, S and Wintle, BA and Woolley, SNC and Barnes, M and Watson, JEM and Ferrier, S
Keywords: biodiversity, conservation targets, indicators, modelling, scenarios, environmental change, conservation policy
Journal or Publication Title: Trends in Ecology and Evolution
Publisher: Elsevier Science London
ISSN: 0169-5347
DOI / ID Number: 10.1016/j.tree.2018.10.006
Copyright Information:

Copyright 2018 Elsevier Ltd.

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