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Abstract

This study investigated the impact of radiosonde observations from the Southern Ocean obtained by the Australian R/V Aurora Australis on the ALERA2 experimental ensemble reanalysis data set and ensemble forecast experiment. An observing system experiment (OSE) that included additional ship‐launched radiosonde data captured the atmospheric structure over the Southern Ocean. ALERA2 without additional radiosondes had positive temperature biases exceeding 7 °C in the upper troposphere when low‐pressure cyclonic systems passed over the ship. The spread in the upper level was reduced by 15% in the OSE, which propagated downstream from the ship's position because of the sparse observing network over southern high latitudes. Comparison of two 63‐member ensemble forecast experiments initialized by ALERA2 and the OSE revealed that prediction of midlatitude cyclone tracks was improved by the realistic representation of upper‐level troughs in the OSE forecast. This confirms that additional radiosondes over the Southern Ocean reduce uncertainty and error in midlatitude cyclone forecasts.

Item Type:	Article
Authors/Creators:	Sato, K and Inoue, J and Alexander, SP and McFarquhar, G and Yamazaki, A
Keywords:	Southern Ocean, radiosonde, weather forecast, Antarctica
Journal or Publication Title:	Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher:	Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Inc.
ISSN:	0094-8276
DOI / ID Number:	10.1029/2018GL079037
Copyright Information:	Copyright 2018 The Authors. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
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