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A cross-scale framework to support a mechanistic understanding and modelling of marine climate-driven species redistribution, from individuals to communities

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Twiname, S, Audzijonyte, A ORCID: 0000-0002-9919-9376, Blanchard, JL ORCID: 0000-0003-0532-4824, Champion, CLC ORCID: 0000-0002-8666-5112, de la Chesnais, T, Fitzgibbon, QP ORCID: 0000-0002-1104-3052, Fogarty, HE ORCID: 0000-0001-7261-2565, Hobday, AJ, Kelly, R, Murphy, KJ, Oellermann, M ORCID: 0000-0001-5392-6737, Pienado, P, Tracey, S ORCID: 0000-0002-6735-5899, Villanueva, C ORCID: 0000-0001-9694-3131, Wolfe, B and Pecl, GT ORCID: 0000-0003-0192-4339 2020 , 'A cross-scale framework to support a mechanistic understanding and modelling of marine climate-driven species redistribution, from individuals to communities' , Ecography, vol. 43 , pp. 1-15 , doi: 10.1111/ecog.04996.

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Abstract

Climate‐driven species redistribution is pervasive and accelerating, yet the complex mechanisms at play remain poorly understood. The implications of large‐scale species redistribution for natural systems and human societies have resulted in a large number of studies exploring the effects on individual species and ecological communities worldwide. Whilst many studies have investigated discrete components of species redistribution, the integration required for a more complete mechanistic understanding is lacking. In this paper, we provide a framework for synthesising approaches to more robustly understand and predict marine species redistributions. We conceptualise the stages and processes involved in climate‐driven species redistribution at increasing levels of biological organisation, and synthesize the laboratory, field and modelling approaches used to study redistribution related processes at individual, population and community levels. We then summarise links between scales of biological organisation and methodological approaches in a hierarchical framework that represents an integrated mechanistic assessment of climate‐driven species redistributions. In a rapidly expanding field of research, this framework provides direction for: 1) guiding future research, 2) highlighting key knowledge gaps, 3) fostering data exchange and collaboration between disciplines and 4) improving shared capacity to predict and therefore, inform the proactive management of climate impacts on natural systems.

Item Type: Article
Authors/Creators:Twiname, S and Audzijonyte, A and Blanchard, JL and Champion, CLC and de la Chesnais, T and Fitzgibbon, QP and Fogarty, HE and Hobday, AJ and Kelly, R and Murphy, KJ and Oellermann, M and Pienado, P and Tracey, S and Villanueva, C and Wolfe, B and Pecl, GT
Keywords: climate change, integrative ecology, interdisciplinary approaches, macroecology, marine species redistribution, mechanistic models
Journal or Publication Title: Ecography
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Inc.
ISSN: 1600-0587
DOI / ID Number: 10.1111/ecog.04996
Copyright Information:

© 2020 The Authors. Ecography published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Nordic Society Oikos. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported (CC BY 3.0)License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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