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Poleward bound: adapting to climate-driven species redistribution

Melbourne-Thomas, J, Audzijonyte, A ORCID: 0000-0002-9919-9376, Brasier, MJ ORCID: 0000-0003-2844-655X, Cresswell, KA ORCID: 0000-0003-1692-4964, Fogarty, HE ORCID: 0000-0001-7261-2565, Haward, M ORCID: 0000-0003-4775-0864, Hobday, AJ, Hunt, HL, Ling, SD ORCID: 0000-0002-5544-8174, McCormack, PC ORCID: 0000-0001-6751-8291, Mustonen, T, Mustonen, K, Nye, JA, Oellermann, M, Trebilco, R ORCID: 0000-0001-9712-8016, Van Putten, I, Villanueva, C ORCID: 0000-0001-9694-3131, Watson, RA ORCID: 0000-0001-7201-8865 and Pecl, GT ORCID: 0000-0003-0192-4339 2021 , 'Poleward bound: adapting to climate-driven species redistribution' , Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries , doi: 10.1007/s11160-021-09641-3.

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Abstract

One of the most pronounced effects of climate change on the world’s oceans is the (generally) poleward movement of species and fishery stocks in response to increasing water temperatures. In some regions, such redistributions are already causing dramatic shifts in marine socioecological systems, profoundly altering ecosystem structure and function, challenging domestic and international fisheries, and impacting on human communities. Such effects are expected to become increasingly widespread as waters continue to warm and species ranges continue to shift. Actions taken over the coming decade (2021–2030) can help us adapt to species redistributions and minimise negative impacts on ecosystems and human communities, achieving a more sustainable future in the face of ecosystem change. We describe key drivers related to climate-driven species redistributions that are likely to have a high impact and influence on whether a sustainable future is achievable by 2030. We posit two different futures—a ‘business as usual’ future and a technically achievable and more sustainable future, aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. We then identify concrete actions that provide a pathway towards the more sustainable 2030 and that acknowledge and include Indigenous perspectives. Achieving this sustainable future will depend on improved monitoring and detection, and on adaptive, cooperative management to proactively respond to the challenge of species redistribution. We synthesise examples of such actions as the basis of a strategic approach to tackle this global-scale challenge for the benefit of humanity and ecosystems.

Item Type: Article
Authors/Creators:Melbourne-Thomas, J and Audzijonyte, A and Brasier, MJ and Cresswell, KA and Fogarty, HE and Haward, M and Hobday, AJ and Hunt, HL and Ling, SD and McCormack, PC and Mustonen, T and Mustonen, K and Nye, JA and Oellermann, M and Trebilco, R and Van Putten, I and Villanueva, C and Watson, RA and Pecl, GT
Keywords: climate change, future seas, Indigenous knowledge, interdisciplinary, range shifts, species redistribution
Journal or Publication Title: Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries
Publisher: Kluwer Academic Publ
ISSN: 0960-3166
DOI / ID Number: 10.1007/s11160-021-09641-3
Copyright Information:

Copyright Crown 2021

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