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The development of conditional probability reasoning
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Abstract
Although errors in reasoning about conditional probability have been the focus
of interest of psychologists for a long time, the development of conditional
reasoning in school students has received little attention. This paper considers the
responses of 69 students across grades 3 to 13 in an attempt to model
the development of appropriate reasoning skills. Although acknowledging the
misconceptions observed by earlier researchers, this study seeks a positivist
approach to describe developing understanding by combining mathematical
appropriateness with structural complexity. The results of the study are intended
to inform other researchers, teachers, and curriculum developers.
Item Type: | Article |
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Authors/Creators: | Watson, JM and Kelly, BA |
Journal or Publication Title: | International Journal of Mathematical Eduction in Science and Technology |
Publisher: | Taylor & Francis |
ISSN: | 0020-739X |
DOI / ID Number: | 10.1080/00207390601002880 |
Additional Information: | The definitive version is available online at |
Item Statistics: | View statistics for this item |
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