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The development of conditional probability reasoning

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Watson, JM and Kelly, BA 2007 , 'The development of conditional probability reasoning' , International Journal of Mathematical Eduction in Science and Technology, vol. 38, no. 2 , pp. 213-235 , doi: 10.1080/00207390601002880.

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Abstract

Although errors in reasoning about conditional probability have been the focus
of interest of psychologists for a long time, the development of conditional
reasoning in school students has received little attention. This paper considers the
responses of 69 students across grades 3 to 13 in an attempt to model
the development of appropriate reasoning skills. Although acknowledging the
misconceptions observed by earlier researchers, this study seeks a positivist
approach to describe developing understanding by combining mathematical
appropriateness with structural complexity. The results of the study are intended
to inform other researchers, teachers, and curriculum developers.

Item Type: Article
Authors/Creators:Watson, JM and Kelly, BA
Journal or Publication Title: International Journal of Mathematical Eduction in Science and Technology
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
ISSN: 0020-739X
DOI / ID Number: 10.1080/00207390601002880
Additional Information:

The definitive version is available online at
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